Since late 2022, generators have faced a 45% tax rate on electricity sold at market prices above £75 a megawatt hour through the EGL put in place after the war in Ukraine led to record gas market prices across Europe.
Power market prices have surged again in recent weeks, from about £74/MWh to more than £100/MWh, and officials fear they will climb higher if the disruption lasts into winter.
Securing the bulk of the UK’s electricity from fixed-price contracts should mean electricity costs will fall and bill payers will be less exposed to sudden market price shocks.
The proposal was first put forward by analysts at the UK Energy Research Centre in April 2022 to guard against surging gas prices after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. They said it could save between £4bn and £10bn a year if market prices remained high.
The UK has emerged as one of the countries most exposed to volatility in the fossil fuel markets because it generates about 30% of its electricity from gas plants, which set the price for the market overall.
This means higher market prices provide a windfall for renewable energy, biomass and nuclear reactors – unless they generate power based on a guaranteed fixed-price contract, known in the industry as a contract for difference.
