A few developing countries with fossil fuel interests, including Nigeria and Sierra Leone, have backed a potential roadmap.
Also at stake at Cop30 is the question of how countries respond to the fact that current national climate plans, known as nationally determined contributions, would lead to about 2.5C of heating above preindustrial levels, far above the 1.5C limit target set by the Paris agreement.
One delegate from the Alliance of Small Island States said the issue was critical to vulnerable countries, but the draft text contained only options to continue talking about the large gap between countries’ targets and the carbon cuts necessary to stay within 1.5C or as close to it as is now possible.
Leo Roberts of the E3G thinktank said: “Of course the best outcome is formal, universally agreed text setting out a country-led process which can map a route to phasing out fossil fuels. But even if that doesn’t make it into the final package, the signal from this Cop is clear – a big and growing number of countries recognise that a managed, collectively navigated route to fossil fuel phase-out is preferable to the chaotic absence of planning we currently have.”
